Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 7.669679 8.786831 10.026573 11.507235 13.231273 15.179775 17.555093
2025-03-02 6.088355 7.502259 9.201165 11.403279 14.197204 17.643601 22.247376
2025-03-09 5.102191 6.624488 8.561724 11.227747 14.832424 19.580760 26.381647
2025-03-16 4.377060 5.924854 7.987242 10.966440 15.209467 21.110060 30.067982
2025-03-23 4.060197 5.704534 7.987898 11.434242 16.581092 24.105000 36.163272
2025-03-30 3.712531 5.386900 7.796824 11.576541 17.462376 26.456860 41.589845
2025-04-06 3.371779 5.033777 7.503132 11.511055 17.991256 28.299597 46.429601
2025-04-13 3.069765 4.702522 7.199426 11.380868 18.379110 29.932475 51.109638
2025-04-20 2.916355 4.582314 7.203605 11.731905 19.576584 33.019596 58.713833
2025-04-27 2.761345 4.441746 7.156527 11.984202 20.622343 35.955255 66.451085
2025-05-04 2.660050 4.377469 7.224381 12.432754 22.053560 39.736438 76.329991
2025-05-11 2.437901 4.088715 6.884593 12.122715 22.061432 40.875771 81.150482
2025-05-18 2.267706 3.877714 6.665098 12.016670 22.455970 42.833090 88.023089
2025-05-25 2.113591 3.681613 6.453964 11.903192 22.820901 44.774528 95.169101
2025-06-01 1.965233 3.482877 6.219525 11.718812 23.018645 46.390884 101.839214
2025-06-08 1.819710 3.277157 5.953860 11.444919 22.998325 47.538850 107.605595
2025-06-15 1.783823 3.272717 6.065879 11.935207 24.631187 52.453817 123.113649
2025-06-22 1.709170 3.187887 6.014905 12.084365 25.543674 55.881687 135.554615
2025-06-29 1.616141 3.059837 5.867786 12.015721 25.963272 58.227891 145.630773
2025-07-06 1.523598 2.925619 5.697170 11.879262 26.211590 60.197938 155.049735
2025-07-13 1.488661 2.904300 5.754509 12.247228 27.674968 65.307941 173.991496
2025-07-20 1.445464 2.862573 5.765551 12.511724 28.921937 70.048565 192.795354
2025-07-27 1.422840 2.861696 5.862496 12.982026 30.729091 76.484136 217.865171